Chapter I
Iteration Without Pictures
In 1918 the Paris Academy of Sciences offered its Grand Prix for work on iterating functions. The winner was Gaston Julia, aged twenty-five, who had lost his nose to a wound in the First World War and wore a leather patch for the rest of his life. Pierre Fatou had reached many of the same results independently, and the two quarrelled bitterly over priority. Between them they used the new theory of normal families from complex analysis to split the plane into a region where iteration is tame and a region where it is chaotic.
They could only imagine what these regions looked like. Calculating even one detailed picture by hand was out of the question. After a burst of activity, the subject lay mostly dormant for sixty years.
Chapter II
The Pictures Arrive
By the late 1970s computers could test millions of points. Robert Brooks and Peter Matelski printed a crude image in 1978 of the set of parameters for which keeps 0 bounded. Benoit Mandelbrot, at IBM, drew it in detail and saw that it was extraordinary. Zooming in reveals spirals, filaments and tiny copies of the whole set, without end. Mandelbrot had coined the word "fractal" in 1975 for shapes with detail at every scale, and this became its emblem.
Then the pictures became theorems. Adrien Douady and John Hubbard proved in 1982 that the set is connected, although the pictures seemed to show separate islands, and named it after Mandelbrot. In 1985 Dennis Sullivan settled a question left open by Fatou, using methods borrowed from hyperbolic geometry.
Chapter III
A Closer Look: Bounded or Escaping?
Take the rule , start from and watch what happens for a few values of :
| Orbit of 0 | Fate | |
|---|---|---|
| fixed, bounded | ||
| cycle of length 2, bounded | ||
| eventually a 2-cycle, bounded | ||
| fixed from then on, bounded | ||
| escapes to infinity |
For , squaring gives , and adding gives . Squaring gives , and adding gives again. The orbit is trapped.
The Mandelbrot set is the set of all whose orbit stays bounded, so , , and are in it and is not. There is a simple test: once an orbit gets farther than 2 from the origin, it must escape. That is how computers draw the set, colouring each by how many steps its orbit takes to pass distance 2.
The boundary is where it gets hard. The real number is in the set: its orbit creeps up towards and never passes it. But , only a hundredth larger, escapes after 30 steps, and after 97. The closer is to the boundary, the longer it takes to decide. For points exactly on the boundary, no finite computation can settle the question. That is why the set's finest structure is still not fully understood.
Chapter IV
Still Unmapped
In 1998 Mitsuhiro Shishikura proved that the boundary of the Mandelbrot set is as complicated as a boundary in the plane can be, with dimension 2. The central conjecture of the field, that the set is locally connected, would give a complete description of it, and with it of all quadratic dynamical systems. Jean-Christophe Yoccoz proved it at most points, and his work contributed to his Fields Medal in 1994. The remaining points, deep inside nested copies of the set, are still out of reach. The same zooming, or renormalisation, that produces those copies also explains the universal constants of chaos theory.