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Atlas / Physics / The Nuclear Thread

Field · Emerged 1904 – 1956

Radiometric Dating

How can the steady decay of atoms tell us the age of rocks, bones and the Earth itself?

5 chapters5 min read6 turning points1 open problem

Branched from
Radioactivity
Branched into
Not yet surveyed past here
Figures
Ernest Rutherford, Bertram Boltwood, Arthur Holmes, Willard Libby, Clair Patterson, Hans Suess

In brief

Radiometric dating reads the age of a material from the radioactive atoms in it. Each radioactive isotope decays at a fixed rate that no heat, pressure or chemistry can change, so the balance between what is left and what it has decayed into is a clock. Different isotopes suit different spans: carbon-14 for the last fifty thousand years, potassium and argon for the ages of early humans, uranium and lead for the oldest rocks and the Earth itself.

The idea came within a decade of the discovery of radioactivity, and it ended a long argument. Kelvin's physics had given the Earth a few tens of millions of years, too few for the geologists and for Darwin. Uranium–lead ages soon ran to hundreds of millions and then billions of years, and in 1956 Clair Patterson measured the age of the Earth at 4.55 billion years. Radiocarbon dating, invented in 1949, then gave archaeology its first absolute calendar.

Key ideas

Radioactive clockEnters 1904 – 1905

A parent isotope decays into a daughter at a known rate. Measuring how much daughter has built up against how much parent remains gives the time since the clock was set.

Uranium–lead datingEnters 1907

Uranium decays through a long chain to lead. Two isotopes of uranium decay to two different isotopes of lead at different rates, giving two independent clocks in the same sample.

Age of the EarthEnters 1953 – 1956

About 4.55 billion years, measured from the lead isotopes in meteorites, which formed with the Earth from the same cloud of dust and gas.

RadiocarbonEnters 1946 – 1949

Carbon-14, made in the upper atmosphere by cosmic rays and taken up by every living thing. After death it decays with a half-life of 5,730 years and is not replaced.

CalibrationEnters 1955 – 1970

The amount of carbon-14 in the air has varied over time, so radiocarbon ages are converted into calendar years using tree rings and other records of known age.

Chapter I

Kelvin's Clock

In 1862 William Thomson, later Lord Kelvin, calculated how long the Earth would take to cool from molten rock to its present temperature. His answer, revised downwards over the years to a few tens of millions of years, was far too short for the geologists and for Darwin, whose natural selection needed hundreds of millions. Kelvin's physics seemed unanswerable. He had assumed, though, that the Earth has no internal source of heat, and that heat leaves its interior only by conduction through solid rock.

Chapter II

The Rocks Keep Time

Radioactivity supplied both the missing heat and a way to measure time. In 1904, lecturing at the Royal Institution with Kelvin in the audience, Ernest Rutherford pointed out that Kelvin's limit held only if no new source of heat were discovered. By his own account, the old man beamed at him. Rutherford also suggested that the helium building up in uranium minerals from alpha decay could date them. His first estimate was about 40 million years for one mineral, and helium ages soon ran to hundreds of millions of years.

Helium leaks out of rocks, so these ages were too low. In 1907 Bertram Boltwood at Yale found that lead is the stable end of uranium's decay chain, and dated minerals from the lead they contained, at up to 2.2 billion years. Arthur Holmes, a student in London, used the method in 1911 to put the first numbers on the geological periods, and argued in 1913 for an Earth of at least 1.6 billion years. Geologists who had fought Kelvin for more time now found they had more than they wanted.

Chapter III

Four and a Half Billion Years

Measuring the age of the Earth itself was harder. The Earth's surface is constantly recycled, so no rock survives from its formation. The answer lay in meteorites, which formed with the planets and have been unchanged since. At Chicago and then at Caltech, Clair Patterson spent years building a laboratory clean enough to measure tiny amounts of lead without contamination. In 1953 he measured the lead isotopes in the Canyon Diablo meteorite, and in 1956 published an age for the Earth and meteorites of 4.55 billion years. Along the way he discovered that the lead contamination he fought in his laboratory was everywhere, and spent the rest of his career campaigning against leaded petrol.

Rocks date the Earth. Willard Libby found a clock for living things. Cosmic rays make carbon-14 high in the atmosphere, and plants and animals absorb it until they die. Afterwards it decays with a half-life of about 5,700 years. In 1949 Libby dated wood from Egyptian tombs of known age and got the right answers. Archaeology had its first absolute calendar. Hans Suess, a chemist who had helped build the shell model of the nucleus, showed in 1955 that burning fossil fuels was diluting the carbon-14 in the air, and later used ancient bristlecone pines to calibrate the clock against tree rings.

Chapter IV

A Closer Look: Reading the Clocks

Radiocarbon. If a sample holds a fraction N/N0N/N_0 of the carbon-14 it had when it died, its age is

t=5730×log⁡2N0N years.t = 5730 \times \log_2 \frac{N_0}{N}\ \text{years} .
Carbon-14 remainingAge
50%5,730 years
25%11,460 years
10%19,000 years
1%38,000 years
0.1%57,000 years

Living carbon holds only about one carbon-14 atom per trillion carbon atoms, so after about nine half-lives there is too little left to measure reliably, and radiocarbon dating stops at about 50,000 years. Laboratories still report "conventional" radiocarbon ages using Libby's original half-life of 5,568 years, about 3% short of the modern value, and let calibration absorb the difference.

Uranium and lead. Uranium-238 decays to lead-206 with a half-life of 4.47 billion years, and uranium-235 decays to lead-207 with a half-life of 0.70 billion years. Today there is one atom of uranium-235 for every 137.88 of uranium-238. The ratio of the lead each has made in time tt depends only on tt:

207Pb206Pb=1137.88×eλ235t−1eλ238t−1,\frac{^{207}\text{Pb}}{^{206}\text{Pb}} = \frac{1}{137.88} \times \frac{e^{\lambda_{235} t} - 1}{e^{\lambda_{238} t} - 1} ,

where λ=ln⁡2\lambda = \ln 2 divided by the half-life. No measurement of the amount of uranium is needed, only the ratio of two lead isotopes.

Age tt (billion years)Ratio of lead-207 to lead-206 made
4.000.425
4.500.597
4.550.618
4.600.639

The ratio climbs quickly with age because uranium-235 was once far more plentiful. At the Earth's birth there was one atom of uranium-235 for every three of uranium-238. A shift of 50 million years changes the ratio by more than 3%, which is why Patterson could pin down 4.55 billion years so precisely.

Chapter V

Deep Time

Radiometric dating turned the history of the Earth and of life into a calendar. It gives the ages of the oldest minerals, 4.4 billion years, of the first fossils and the great extinctions, and of human ancestors in the Rift Valley of Africa. Radiocarbon, calibrated by tree rings, corals and cave deposits back 55,000 years, dates the spread of modern humans and the rise of farming, and the bomb pulse now dates cells in the human body. The Moon, formed in a giant impact, is still not dated to everyone's satisfaction.

Applications

Where it is used

  • Human evolution↗ Biology · Evolutionary Biology

    Dating early humans

    In 1961 potassium–argon dating of volcanic layers at Olduvai Gorge in Tanzania gave the fossil hominin found there by Mary Leakey in 1959 an age of about 1.75 million years, far older than expected. Volcanic ash layers dated this way now anchor the timeline of human evolution in East Africa, and radiometric dates of rocks set the pace of the whole fossil record.

    › Sources (1)
    • Leakey, L. S. B., Evernden, J. F. & Curtis, G. H. (1961). Age of Bed I, Olduvai Gorge, Tanganyika. Nature 191: 478–479.
  • Cell biology↗ Biology · Cell Biology

    Birth-dating human cells

    Nuclear tests in the 1950s and early 1960s nearly doubled the carbon-14 in the air, and it has been falling since. Every cell's DNA records the level at the time the cell was made. Jonas Frisén's group used this bomb pulse to measure how old the cells in adult human organs are, showing, for example, that most neurons in the cerebral cortex are as old as the person.

    › Sources (1)
    • Spalding, K. L., Bhardwaj, R. D., Buchholz, B. A., Druid, H. & Frisén, J. (2005). Retrospective birth dating of cells in humans. Cell 122: 133–143.
  • Public health

    Lead in petrol

    Patterson's lead measurements required a laboratory far cleaner than any before, and they showed that ordinary lead levels in modern people and oceans were many times natural levels, mainly from leaded petrol. Opposed by the lead industry, his campaign helped bring about the removal of lead from petrol, first in the United States and eventually worldwide.

    › Sources (1)
    • Patterson, C. C. (1965). Contaminated and natural lead environments of man. Archives of Environmental Health 11: 344–360.
  • Palaeontology↗ Biology · Palaeontology

    Putting dates on the fossil record

    Fossils give the order of events and not their spacing. Dating minerals in volcanic ash beds above and below a fossil-bearing layer brackets it absolutely, which is how the Cretaceous–Palaeogene boundary is placed at 66.0 million years with an uncertainty of a few tens of thousands of years — precise enough to argue about whether the asteroid or the Deccan eruptions came first. The whole timescale of life's history is a radiometric result imposed on a stratigraphic order.

    › Sources (1)
    • Renne, P. R. et al. (2013). Time scales of critical events around the Cretaceous–Paleogene boundary. Science 339: 684–687.

Open problems

Where the map runs out

Open

How old is the Moon?

Open as of 2026. Estimates range from about 4.35 to 4.51 billion years. A 2024 proposal, that tidal heating remelted the Moon's surface 4.35 billion years ago and reset many clocks, favours an old Moon.

The Moon probably formed when a Mars-sized body struck the young Earth. Some radiometric ages of lunar rocks and zircons point to about 4.51 billion years ago, within about 60 million years of the birth of the solar system. Others point to about 4.35 billion. The two cannot both date the same event.

Why it is hard

The impact melted and mixed the Moon's surface, and later impacts reheated it, partly resetting some clocks but not others. Each dating method measures a different event, such as the crystallisation of a mineral or the cooling of a magma ocean, and relating them to the impact itself depends on models.

What resolving it unlocks

When the Earth reached its present form, how long the Earth–Moon system took to settle, and so when conditions for life could first have arisen.

› Sources (3)
  • Borg, L. E., Connelly, J. N., Boyet, M. & Carlson, R. W. (2011). Chronological evidence that the Moon is either young or did not have a global magma ocean. Nature 477: 70–72.
  • Barboni, M. et al. (2017). Early formation of the Moon 4.51 billion years ago. Science Advances 3: e1602365.
  • Nimmo, F., Kleine, T. & Morbidelli, A. (2024). Tidally driven remelting around 4.35 billion years ago indicates the Moon is old. Nature 636: 598–602.

Further reading

  1. Lewis, C. (2000). The Dating Game: One Man's Search for the Age of the Earth. Cambridge University Press.

    A biography of Arthur Holmes and the story of the geological timescale.

  2. Burchfield, J. D. (1975). Lord Kelvin and the Age of the Earth. Science History Publications.

    The classic account of the argument between physicists and geologists.

  3. Taylor, R. E. & Bar-Yosef, O. (2014). Radiocarbon Dating: An Archaeological Perspective. 2nd edition. Left Coast Press.

    A thorough guide to how radiocarbon dating works and how archaeologists use it.